Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +6352 ▼ 0.1 pp $7K Nov 7, 2028
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2098 flat $6K Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 80% -388 ▲ 19.0 pp $6K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 14% +641 ▲ 3.0 pp $6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 97% -2757 ▲ 2.0 pp $5K Aug 11, 2026
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 9% +970 ▼ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 1% +15285 ▼ 0.1 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 99% -7043 ▲ 0.4 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 39% +160 ▼ 29.0 pp $4K Aug 11, 2026
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +10426 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Polymarket Presidential 11% +793 ▼ 5.8 pp $3K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▲ 0.1 pp $142K Oct 4, 2026
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $119K Oct 4, 2026
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.2 pp $41K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1233 flat $40K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 ▼ 0.1 pp $27K Oct 4, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 64% -174 flat $14K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 1% +11665 ▼ 0.1 pp $13K Aug 31, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 27% +267 ▲ 0.1 pp $11K Oct 4, 2026
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 31% +218 ▲ 1.4 pp $10K Apr 30, 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket Presidential 7% +1438 ▼ 1.0 pp $10K Dec 31, 2026
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +99900 flat $10K Oct 4, 2026
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Polymarket Presidential 90% -852 ▼ 2.0 pp $7K Aug 14, 2026
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027