Congress
Control of the House, individual district races, special elections and the primaries feeding them. District markets are thin and jumpy — treat a 20-point move on low volume as noise until it holds.
Congressional markets on the move
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?
62%
-160
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
21%
+376
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
96%
-2603
▲ 2.6 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?
97%
-2841
▲ 2.1 pp
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
92%
-1150
▲ 1.5 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
95%
-1983
▲ 1.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?
95%
-1718
▲ 1.0 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
Where the congressional money is
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
87%
-641
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13%
+700
flat
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?
8%
+1233
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?
4%
+2603
▼ 0.5 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
5%
+1842
▼ 0.7 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
All congressional markets
66 markets found
| Market | Platform | Type | Yes | Odds | 24h | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Polymarket | Congressional | 87% | -641 | ▼ 2.0 pp | $36K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | Polymarket | Congressional | 18% | +471 | ▲ 2.0 pp | $16K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Polymarket | Congressional | 13% | +700 | flat | $14K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | Polymarket | Congressional | 76% | -308 | ▲ 9.5 pp | $10K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 79% | -365 | ▲ 5.5 pp | $10K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 15% | +590 | ▲ 6.9 pp | $9K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | Polymarket | Congressional | 82% | -441 | ▼ 4.0 pp | $9K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 22% | +365 | ▼ 5.0 pp | $7K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | Polymarket | Congressional | 25% | +296 | ▼ 7.8 pp | $5K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 2.0 pp | $5K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 4% | +2603 | ▼ 0.5 pp | $4K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 5% | +1842 | ▼ 0.7 pp | $4K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 96% | -2678 | ▲ 2.4 pp | $3K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 92% | -1076 | ▼ 2.0 pp | $3K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | flat | $3K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 96% | -2603 | ▲ 2.6 pp | $3K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-07 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | flat | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 86% | -590 | ▼ 7.5 pp | $2K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 97% | -2841 | ▲ 2.1 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? | Polymarket | Congressional | 50% | +101 | ▲ 1.1 pp | $2K | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 96% | -2678 | ▲ 2.2 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1941 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1983 | ▲ 1.2 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |