Congress
Control of the House, individual district races, special elections and the primaries feeding them. District markets are thin and jumpy — treat a 20-point move on low volume as noise until it holds.
Congressional markets on the move
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?
62%
-160
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
21%
+376
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
96%
-2603
▲ 2.6 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?
97%
-2841
▲ 2.1 pp
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
92%
-1150
▲ 1.5 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
95%
-1983
▲ 1.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?
95%
-1718
▲ 1.0 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
Where the congressional money is
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
87%
-641
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13%
+700
flat
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?
8%
+1233
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?
4%
+2603
▼ 0.5 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
5%
+1842
▼ 0.7 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
All congressional markets
66 markets found
| Market | Platform | Type | Yes | Odds | 24h | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06? | Polymarket | Congressional | 1% | +15285 | ▲ 0.6 pp | $2K | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | flat | $2K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 93% | -1233 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 15% | +590 | ▲ 2.0 pp | $1K | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1842 | ▼ 3.2 pp | $1K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 62% | -160 | ▲ 3.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1941 | ▲ 0.7 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 2.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-09 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1805 | ▲ 0.8 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 96% | -2281 | ▲ 0.1 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? | Polymarket | Congressional | 5% | +1805 | ▲ 0.2 pp | $1K | Aug 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 21% | +376 | ▲ 3.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 93% | -1233 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | Polymarket | Congressional | 40% | +149 | ▼ 3.6 pp | $1K | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1880 | ▲ 0.1 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1718 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Abbey Zieska be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 0% | +99900 | ▼ 0.1 pp | $1K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-12 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 5% | +1823 | ▼ 0.9 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 94% | -1609 | flat | $1K | Nov 3, 2026 |