Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?

Yes95%
American odds-1842
24h move▼ 3.2 pp
24h volume$1K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Fred Clark holds a commanding lead in the WI-07 Democratic primary due to his prior service as a Wisconsin state representative, established name recognition across parts of the district, and professional background as a forester and conservationist that aligns with the rural northern economy. Multiple Democratic endorsements and media assessments have positioned him as the strongest nominee to contest the open seat vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany. With the August 11 primary underway, trader consensus reflects limited remaining uncertainty. A surprise upset would require unusually high turnout favoring Chris Armstrong or Ginger Murray or an unforeseen late development altering voter preferences before results are certified.


Other markets moving today

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook