Platform: Polymarket

Florida’s 2026 open-seat gubernatorial contest remains tightly contested in trader pricing due to the Republican structural edge in registration and voting history since 1994 offset by polling volatility and voter focus on affordability, housing costs, and property insurance. Republican frontrunner Byron Donalds dominates primary polls ahead of the August 18 vote and holds a modest…

Florida’s 2026 open-seat gubernatorial contest remains tightly contested in trader pricing due to the Republican structural edge in registration and voting history since 1994 offset by polling volatility and voter focus on affordability, housing costs, and property insurance. Republican frontrunner Byron Donalds dominates primary polls ahead of the August 18 vote and holds a modest…

Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in South Dakota’s first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, advancing past businessman Toby Doeden to face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the November general election. The state’s consistent Republican tilt and limited general-election polling to date leave the precise margin of victory uncertain, with traders assigning roughly…

Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in South Dakota’s first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, advancing past businessman Toby Doeden to face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the November general election. The state’s consistent Republican tilt and limited general-election polling to date leave the precise margin of victory uncertain, with traders assigning roughly…

Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in South Dakota’s first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, advancing past businessman Toby Doeden to face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the November general election. The state’s consistent Republican tilt and limited general-election polling to date leave the precise margin of victory uncertain, with traders assigning roughly…

Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in South Dakota’s first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, advancing past businessman Toby Doeden to face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the November general election. The state’s consistent Republican tilt and limited general-election polling to date leave the precise margin of victory uncertain, with traders assigning roughly…

Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a double-digit polling edge over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing leads ranging from 7 to 20 points amid the state’s battleground dynamics and voter turnout patterns. Traders price the most likely Democrat victory margin in the 15-20% range at 27%, reflecting…

Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a double-digit polling edge over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing leads ranging from 7 to 20 points amid the state’s battleground dynamics and voter turnout patterns. Traders price the most likely Democrat victory margin in the 15-20% range at 27%, reflecting…

Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in South Dakota’s first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, advancing past businessman Toby Doeden to face Democrat Dan Ahlers in the November general election. The state’s consistent Republican tilt and limited general-election polling to date leave the precise margin of victory uncertain, with traders assigning roughly…

Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a double-digit polling edge over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing leads ranging from 7 to 20 points amid the state’s battleground dynamics and voter turnout patterns. Traders price the most likely Democrat victory margin in the 15-20% range at 27%, reflecting…