| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Polymarket |
Other |
44% |
+130 |
▲ 8.0 pp |
$940K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+18082 |
flat |
$691K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+6352 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$643K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Polymarket |
Other |
56% |
-125 |
▼ 7.0 pp |
$582K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+11665 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$576K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+28471 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$564K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Policy |
25% |
+308 |
▲ 4.0 pp |
$442K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Polymarket |
International |
0% |
+22122 |
▼ 1.4 pp |
$386K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+2799 |
▼ 0.6 pp |
$385K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$352K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
11% |
+852 |
▼ 3.0 pp |
$272K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
1% |
+12400 |
▼ 1.8 pp |
$257K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$253K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+39900 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$204K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
5% |
+2122 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$194K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.7 pp |
$187K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? |
Polymarket |
Other |
97% |
-3025 |
▲ 41.8 pp |
$184K |
Sep 17, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
32% |
+217 |
▼ 13.0 pp |
$151K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$142K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Polymarket |
International |
96% |
-2603 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$134K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
1% |
+18082 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$129K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
2% |
+4551 |
▼ 3.4 pp |
$124K |
Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$119K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
7% |
+1329 |
▼ 4.0 pp |
$115K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1438 |
flat |
$102K |
Dec 31, 2026 |