Congress
Control of the House, individual district races, special elections and the primaries feeding them. District markets are thin and jumpy — treat a 20-point move on low volume as noise until it holds.
Congressional markets on the move
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?
62%
-160
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
21%
+376
▲ 3.0 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
96%
-2603
▲ 2.6 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?
97%
-2841
▲ 2.1 pp
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
92%
-1150
▲ 1.5 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
95%
-1983
▲ 1.2 pp
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?
95%
-1718
▲ 1.0 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
Where the congressional money is
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
87%
-641
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13%
+700
flat
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?
8%
+1233
▼ 2.0 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?
4%
+2603
▼ 0.5 pp
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
5%
+1842
▼ 0.7 pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
96%
-2678
▲ 2.4 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
All congressional markets
66 markets found
| Market | Platform | Type | Yes | Odds | 24h | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 92% | -1150 | ▲ 1.5 pp | $993 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $920 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $881 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 67% | -203 | ▲ 2.5 pp | $834 | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 92% | -1076 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $814 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 19% | +441 | ▼ 4.0 pp | $768 | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1718 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $734 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 94% | -1438 | flat | $725 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 56% | -127 | ▲ 3.5 pp | $721 | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Peter Burgelis be the WI-01 Democratic nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 0% | +39900 | ▲ 0.2 pp | $691 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 23% | +344 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $690 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1718 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $681 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat? | Polymarket | Congressional | 94% | -1567 | ▲ 0.5 pp | $674 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 95% | -1718 | ▼ 0.5 pp | $649 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee? | Polymarket | Congressional | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $646 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09? | Polymarket | Congressional | 0% | +39900 | flat | $608 | Aug 18, 2026 |