Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?

Recent polling shows incumbent Cory Mills holding a narrow edge in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 7th congressional district, though challenger Ryan Elijah has closed the gap to within striking distance amid ethics allegations and a DOJ investigation targeting the sitting representative. A recent debate intensified scrutiny on Mills’ record while highlighting endorsements and campaign contrasts, with early voting set to begin shortly. Trump’s backing of Mills provides one anchor for the incumbent, offset by fresh local and state Republican support for Elijah. The tight market pricing reflects these competing momentum signals and low name recognition for other candidates, leaving room for last-minute shifts from turnout patterns, additional endorsements, or further revelations to widen the gap before ballots are cast.

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