Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Yes76%
American odds-308
24h move▲ 9.5 pp
24h volume$10K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Matt Little holds a strong lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary trader consensus due to securing the DFL endorsement as a former state senator and Lakeville mayor, providing institutional backing in a competitive race to succeed Rep. Angie Craig. State Sen. Matt Klein has narrowed the gap through substantial outside spending exceeding $2 million from groups like 314 Action, leveraging his background as a Mayo Clinic physician and state legislative experience. State Rep. Kaela Berg trails significantly despite nearly $1 million in support from EMILY’s List-affiliated PACs, reflecting limited traction among primary voters. The August 11 primary occurs amid a tightening contest, where endorsement strength and organized spending continue to shape positioning ahead of results.


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