Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +6352 ▼ 0.1 pp $7K Nov 7, 2028
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2098 flat $6K Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 80% -388 ▲ 19.0 pp $6K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 14% +641 ▲ 3.0 pp $6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 97% -2757 ▲ 2.0 pp $5K Aug 11, 2026
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 9% +970 ▼ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 1% +15285 ▼ 0.1 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 99% -7043 ▲ 0.4 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 39% +160 ▼ 29.0 pp $4K Aug 11, 2026
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +10426 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Polymarket Presidential 11% +793 ▼ 5.8 pp $3K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +11665 flat $5K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 14% +641 flat $5K Apr 30, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 2% +3982 ▲ 0.1 pp $5K Sep 30, 2026
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Oct 4, 2026
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $3K Oct 4, 2026
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Polymarket Presidential 92% -1135 ▲ 0.2 pp $3K Oct 11, 2026
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027