Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $897 Nov 7, 2028
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $850 Nov 7, 2028
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $848 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $781 Nov 7, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $762 Nov 7, 2028
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $724 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $695 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Polymarket Presidential 29% +244 ▲ 19.9 pp $690 Aug 11, 2026
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $662 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $657 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -33233 ▲ 1.1 pp $650 Aug 11, 2026
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $628 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1920 ▼ 3.3 pp $621 Aug 10, 2028
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $619 Nov 7, 2028
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $610 Nov 7, 2028
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2122 ▼ 1.0 pp $609 Dec 31, 2026

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▲ 0.1 pp $142K Oct 4, 2026
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $119K Oct 4, 2026
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.2 pp $41K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1233 flat $40K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 ▼ 0.1 pp $27K Oct 4, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 64% -174 flat $14K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 1% +11665 ▼ 0.1 pp $13K Aug 31, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 27% +267 ▲ 0.1 pp $11K Oct 4, 2026
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 31% +218 ▲ 1.4 pp $10K Apr 30, 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket Presidential 7% +1438 ▼ 1.0 pp $10K Dec 31, 2026
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +99900 flat $10K Oct 4, 2026
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Polymarket Presidential 90% -852 ▼ 2.0 pp $7K Aug 14, 2026
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027