Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $897 Nov 7, 2028
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $850 Nov 7, 2028
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $848 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $781 Nov 7, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $762 Nov 7, 2028
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $724 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $695 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Polymarket Presidential 29% +244 ▲ 19.9 pp $690 Aug 11, 2026
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $662 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $657 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -33233 ▲ 1.1 pp $650 Aug 11, 2026
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $628 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1920 ▼ 3.3 pp $621 Aug 10, 2028
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $619 Nov 7, 2028
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $610 Nov 7, 2028
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2122 ▼ 1.0 pp $609 Dec 31, 2026

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +11665 flat $5K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 14% +641 flat $5K Apr 30, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 2% +3982 ▲ 0.1 pp $5K Sep 30, 2026
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Oct 4, 2026
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $4K Apr 30, 2027
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $3K Oct 4, 2026
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Polymarket Presidential 92% -1135 ▲ 0.2 pp $3K Oct 11, 2026
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Apr 30, 2027