Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Peggy Flanagan holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate primary due to consistent polling advantages over Rep. Angie Craig in the contest to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Recent surveys, including one showing a 46-32 percent lead among likely primary voters, reflect Flanagan’s stronger support among progressive and Native American constituencies, bolstered by endorsements from Smith and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Craig maintains an edge in fundraising and cash on hand while appealing to more centrist voters, yet outside spending and debates over issues such as immigration have not closed the gap. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels, consistent with their limited name recognition and organizational backing ahead of the August 11 vote.

View this market on Polymarket →