Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes7%
American odds+1438
24h move▼ 1.0 pp
24h volume$10K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

**Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended through October 31, 2026, bars presidential elections under the constitution and parliamentary approvals.** Zelenskyy’s 2019 term formally expired in May 2024, yet constitutional provisions keep the incumbent in office until a successor is sworn in after martial law lifts. No ceasefire or security guarantees have emerged to enable voting, and Zelenskyy has tied any ballot to those conditions while rejecting expedited wartime polls. Quarterly extensions of martial law and the absence of viable alternatives for leadership transition sustain the trader consensus that he will remain president through year-end.


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