Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

Yes97%
American odds-2757
24h move▲ 2.0 pp
24h volume$5K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Francesca Hong holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, including in Waukesha County, driven by consistent polling advantages and a broad grassroots campaign that has outperformed expectations in suburban areas. Her position reflects strong organization and voter consolidation among Democratic primary participants statewide, despite the open seat following incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek re-election. Main challenger David Crowley, Milwaukee County Executive and recipient of Evers’ endorsement, has campaigned actively across regions but trails substantially in recent surveys. Other candidates such as Joel Brennan and Kelda Roys remain further back. Late shifts could occur if county-level turnout patterns deviate sharply from statewide trends or if final vote counts in key suburban precincts reveal unexpected fragmentation among moderate voters.


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