Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?

Yes99%
American odds-8991
24h move▲ 8.9 pp
24h volume$2K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Peggy Flanagan’s commanding position in the Minnesota Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from her expanding statewide polling lead, now at 46-32 percent over Rep. Angie Craig with the August 11 vote underway, and a broad array of high-profile endorsements from figures including Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Sen. Al Franken, Attorney General Keith Ellison, and St. Paul Mayor Melvin Carter. Her profile as lieutenant governor and the state’s highest-ranking Native elected official has strengthened support among key DFL constituencies, particularly in urban areas such as Ramsey County. Outside spending favoring Craig has not narrowed the gap in recent surveys. Traders view late-day turnout shifts or unexpected legal developments as the primary remaining variables that could alter the outcome before results are certified.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook