Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District due to his substantial fundraising advantage, with over $1.88 million cash on hand compared to challenger Oliver Larkin’s much smaller war chest, alongside stronger polling averages in most surveys. Larkin’s recent TV and digital ad campaign attacking Moskowitz as a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with endorsements from progressive groups including the Democratic Socialists of America, has narrowed the gap in select late polls to a statistical tie, yet Moskowitz maintains broad name recognition from prior roles and early voter support. The race features limited other contenders, and the primary’s closed nature plus the short timeline to election day reinforce trader consensus around Moskowitz’s frontrunner status while leaving room for turnout shifts.

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