Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?

Yes5%
American odds+1805
24h move▲ 0.2 pp
24h volume$1K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 30, 2026
Implied probability over time

Recent domestic abuse allegations against incumbent Republican Rep. Max Miller, detailed in police reports and reported in late July 2026, center on claims from his ex-wife Emily Moreno and their daughter, prompting scrutiny from Ohio Republican leaders. Sen. Bernie Moreno publicly called for Miller to resign, citing character concerns, while Miller has denied all accusations, noted the absence of charges or substantiated findings, and stated his intent to remain on the ballot. The deadline for candidate replacement has passed, locking Miller in for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Brian Poindexter in the Trump-leaning OH-07 district. These developments have shifted the race toward greater competitiveness according to updated ratings, with traders monitoring any further statements, party pressure, or legal updates that could influence withdrawal odds before Election Day.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook