Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Yes19%
American odds+441
24h move▼ 4.0 pp
24h volume$768
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 18, 2026
Implied probability over time

Shevrin Jones leads the FL-24 Democratic primary field as the August 18 vote approaches, with recent St. Pete Polls showing him at 33% support against Oliver Gilbert at 23% and Kendrick Meek Jr. at 18%, plus a large undecided share. Jones, who resigned his state senate seat to run for the open district previously held by Frederica Wilson, has built momentum through broad demographic backing in the heavily Democratic South Florida seat. Gilbert, a Miami-Dade County commissioner, remains the clearest alternative in a crowded primary that includes several lower-polling challengers. Trader pricing reflects Jones’s polling edge and name recognition while leaving room for late shifts from undecided voters or turnout patterns in the final week.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook