Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes5%
American odds+1920
24h move▼ 3.3 pp
24h volume$621
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 10, 2028
Implied probability over time

The absence of a declared 2028 Democratic presidential frontrunner has left trader consensus on the vice-presidential nominee widely dispersed, with no outcome exceeding low double digits. Leading names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer draw support from distinct bases—progressive activists and Midwest swing-state strength, respectively—while others like Pete Buttigieg and Andy Beshear reflect geographic or demographic balancing considerations typical in ticket construction. Early polling aggregates for the presidential nomination and historical patterns of vice-presidential selection based on electoral math continue to shape positioning, though the field remains fluid ahead of primary contests and any eventual nominee announcement that could consolidate probabilities.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook