Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes7%
American odds+1438
24h moveflat
24h volume$7K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

Donald Trump remains in office in August 2026 after his 2024 victory and January 2025 inauguration, with no confirmed health events, resignation signals, or successful removal proceedings. The 22nd Amendment allows completion of this term, and the absence of major legislative or judicial actions that could force an early exit supports the high trader probability assigned to continuity. Recent executive actions and cabinet stability have reinforced institutional continuity rather than disruption. While midterm elections and policy debates could introduce volatility, they have not produced developments sufficient to shift expectations of departure before 2027.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook