Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?

The Tisza Party’s supermajority in Hungary’s National Assembly, secured in the April 2026 parliamentary elections, drives the near-certain trader consensus around András Baka. Parliament elects the largely ceremonial president, and the party’s August 8 nomination of the former Supreme Court chief—removed in 2011 after criticizing prior judicial changes—positions him as the sole candidate for the August 11 vote. This follows the constitutional removal of the previous incumbent and aligns with efforts to reshape state institutions. With the required two-thirds support assured, only unforeseen procedural blocks or sudden majority erosion could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.

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