Will Angie Craig win Hennepin County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?

Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in the Hennepin County portion of Minnesota’s August 11 Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for U.S. Senate, driven by her recent expansion of a double-digit lead in statewide polling, the party’s official endorsement, and backing from retiring Sen. Tina Smith along with organized labor. As lieutenant governor and a progressive with deep roots in the Minneapolis area, Flanagan benefits from strong grassroots mobilization in urban Hennepin County, where Democratic primary voters have historically favored candidates aligned with the party’s left wing over more centrist alternatives. Rep. Angie Craig’s stronger fundraising and moderate profile have not offset these advantages locally. Late shifts remain possible through unusually high turnout among Craig supporters or unexpected primary-day developments, though current evidence points to limited realistic pathways for challengers to overtake Flanagan in this county.

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