Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

Yes87%
American odds-691
24h move▲ 6.9 pp
24h volume$2K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Nate Pollnow leads the Wisconsin Republican primary for secretary of state with strong trader consensus due to his May endorsement from the Republican Party of Wisconsin at its state convention. As a Dodge County beef cattle farmer and former town board chair, Pollnow has positioned his campaign around government transparency, including a proposed public registry of rules and laws, and accountability for public lands funds. Jay Schroeder trails as the self-described MAGA-aligned candidate focused on election integrity and shifting election administration duties to the office. The August 11 primary features four candidates total, with Brayden Myer and Cindy Werner showing minimal support in recent coverage. The upcoming vote today represents the final catalyst, with the party endorsement serving as the dominant factor in current market positioning ahead of the November general election against Democrat JoCasta Zamarripa.


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