Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?

Yes55%
American odds-122
24h move▼ 1.5 pp
24h volume$2K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 18, 2026
Implied probability over time

The crowded Wyoming Republican primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for August 18, features Steve Friess and Secretary of State Chuck Gray as the leading contenders amid a field of roughly a dozen candidates. Recent candidate forums, including the August 6 debate in Sheridan, have sharpened contrasts on energy policy, taxes, and federal land management, while internal polling and endorsements from state legislators and industry figures have elevated Friess’s profile. Gray benefits from statewide name recognition but faces reported unfavorable ratings that have kept his position from consolidating. With the vote only days away and vote shares fragmented across veterans, business leaders, and former officials, late endorsements, turnout among conservative activists, and any final polling shifts could determine separation before ballots close.


Other markets moving today

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook