| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
2% |
+4778 |
flat |
$1K |
Apr 30, 2027 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
3% |
+3604 |
▲ 2.2 pp |
$1K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
6% |
+1718 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
6% |
+1718 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Polymarket |
International |
10% |
+900 |
▼ 2.5 pp |
$1K |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
8% |
+1150 |
▼ 1.5 pp |
$1K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
94% |
-1609 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1438 |
flat |
$1,000 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
54% |
-115 |
▼ 4.0 pp |
$999 |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+39900 |
flat |
$997 |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+22122 |
▼ 1.7 pp |
$996 |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
13% |
+700 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$996 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
92% |
-1150 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$993 |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
30% |
+239 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$989 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
38% |
+163 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$986 |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Courts |
12% |
+703 |
▲ 1.4 pp |
$984 |
— |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
9% |
+1024 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$982 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3900 |
▼ 10.0 pp |
$981 |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Polymarket |
International |
1% |
+16567 |
▼ 0.6 pp |
$974 |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
36% |
+178 |
▼ 6.5 pp |
$973 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
91% |
-1056 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$970 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
13% |
+700 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$969 |
Dec 31, 2026 |