| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
31% |
+228 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2310 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$1K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
91% |
-1070 |
▲ 39.5 pp |
$1K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
3% |
+3179 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Polymarket |
Other |
27% |
+269 |
▲ 9.0 pp |
$1K |
— |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
49% |
+104 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$1K |
Jun 30, 2027 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2310 |
▼ 1.9 pp |
$1K |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
6% |
+1718 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
78% |
-344 |
▲ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
5% |
+1920 |
▲ 1.3 pp |
$1K |
Aug 10, 2028 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Polymarket |
International |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+9424 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$1K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+39900 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
95% |
-1718 |
▲ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Polymarket |
International |
2% |
+5305 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$1K |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
12% |
+770 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
1% |
+10426 |
▼ 11.6 pp |
$1K |
Jun 6, 2027 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2253 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
92% |
-1076 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Abbey Zieska be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$1K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-12 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
5% |
+1823 |
▼ 0.9 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
9% |
+1076 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
87% |
-641 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$1K |
Oct 4, 2026 |