| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
6% |
+1718 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$16K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+22122 |
flat |
$16K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
18% |
+471 |
▲ 2.0 pp |
$16K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
8% |
+1233 |
flat |
$16K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
63% |
-170 |
▼ 3.5 pp |
$15K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+15285 |
▼ 0.7 pp |
$15K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
23% |
+344 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$15K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
13% |
+700 |
flat |
$14K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
64% |
-174 |
flat |
$14K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
16% |
+527 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$14K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
15% |
+573 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$14K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
1% |
+11665 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$13K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Polymarket |
International |
99% |
-7900 |
▲ 0.5 pp |
$13K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Polymarket |
Senate |
47% |
+115 |
flat |
$12K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
29% |
+251 |
▲ 5.0 pp |
$12K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
45% |
+125 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$12K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
25% |
+299 |
▼ 6.4 pp |
$12K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+13233 |
▲ 0.3 pp |
$12K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+8991 |
▼ 1.7 pp |
$12K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
19% |
+441 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$12K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+4778 |
flat |
$11K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2226 |
▲ 1.3 pp |
$11K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
71% |
-239 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$11K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
12% |
+733 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$11K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
Polymarket |
International |
68% |
-208 |
▲ 4.0 pp |
$11K |
Sep 30, 2026 |