| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Polymarket |
Senate |
12% |
+770 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$8K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 15? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+18082 |
▼ 0.8 pp |
$8K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2339 |
▼ 2.3 pp |
$8K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
96% |
-2199 |
▲ 0.5 pp |
$8K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
81% |
-422 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$8K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
18% |
+470 |
▼ 0.6 pp |
$8K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+8233 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$7K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2678 |
▼ 1.4 pp |
$7K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
55% |
-120 |
flat |
$7K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3290 |
▲ 0.7 pp |
$7K |
Oct 10, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3900 |
flat |
$7K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
33% |
+208 |
▲ 10.0 pp |
$7K |
Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$7K |
Apr 30, 2027 |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
90% |
-852 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$7K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
22% |
+362 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$7K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
7% |
+1438 |
flat |
$7K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$7K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
22% |
+365 |
▼ 5.0 pp |
$7K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
2% |
+6352 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$7K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3075 |
▼ 0.8 pp |
$7K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$6K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Polymarket |
International |
6% |
+1718 |
flat |
$6K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
20% |
+400 |
▲ 3.5 pp |
$6K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$6K |
Apr 30, 2027 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
28% |
+264 |
▲ 9.0 pp |
$6K |
Aug 14, 2026 |