Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $897 Nov 7, 2028
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $850 Nov 7, 2028
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $848 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $781 Nov 7, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $762 Nov 7, 2028
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $724 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $695 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Polymarket Presidential 29% +244 ▲ 19.9 pp $690 Aug 11, 2026
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $662 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $657 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -33233 ▲ 1.1 pp $650 Aug 11, 2026
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $628 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1920 ▼ 3.3 pp $621 Aug 10, 2028
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $619 Nov 7, 2028
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $610 Nov 7, 2028
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2122 ▼ 1.0 pp $609 Dec 31, 2026

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3674 ▲ 0.2 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▼ 0.1 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +3982 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +99900 flat $2K Oct 4, 2026
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 4% +2497 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4778 ▼ 0.1 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 63% -167 ▲ 6.0 pp $2K Sep 13, 2026
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil’s presidential runoff? Polymarket Presidential 94% -1513 ▼ 2.8 pp $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 18% +456 ▲ 8.3 pp $1K Apr 17, 2027
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 56% -125 ▼ 0.5 pp $1K Oct 24, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Polymarket Presidential 13% +700 flat $1K Dec 31, 2026
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4778 flat $1K Apr 30, 2027