Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes18%
American odds+456
24h move▲ 8.3 pp
24h volume$1K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesApr 17, 2027
Implied probability over time

Recent legal developments have clarified the field for France’s April 2027 presidential election. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility after a July 2026 appeals ruling eased her prior office ban, prompting her formal candidacy announcement and a proposed “winning ticket” pairing her with National Rally leader Jordan Bardella. Polling since then consistently places Le Pen first in the opening round at roughly 35 percent, well ahead of Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and others. A record number of potential contenders—around 30—remain active across the center-right, center, and left, though primaries, party nominations, and further legal or coalition decisions before early 2027 could narrow the final ballot. Term limits bar Emmanuel Macron from running again, intensifying competition to consolidate anti-RN support.


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