Other
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
66%
-190
▲ 9.5 pp
-190
▲ 9.5 pp
Race type
Other
Other
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Other
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
27%
+269
▲ 9.0 pp
+269
▲ 9.0 pp
Other
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
73%
-264
▲ 6.0 pp
-264
▲ 6.0 pp
Other
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
10%
+926
▲ 5.8 pp
+926
▲ 5.8 pp
Other
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
38%
+167
▲ 4.5 pp
+167
▲ 4.5 pp
Other
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
32%
+217
▲ 4.5 pp
+217
▲ 4.5 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
354 markets found
| Market | Platform | Type | Yes | Odds | 24h | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 98% | -5456 | ▲ 15.2 pp | $46K | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 0% | +22122 | ▼ 3.8 pp | $45K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 9% | +1043 | ▼ 0.3 pp | $45K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 2% | +6150 | ▼ 0.5 pp | $45K | Aug 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 52% | -106 | ▼ 0.5 pp | $42K | Sep 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 1% | +18082 | ▼ 0.3 pp | $41K | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Polymarket | Other | 5% | +2098 | ▲ 0.1 pp | $38K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | Polymarket | Other | 92% | -1076 | ▼ 0.5 pp | $38K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | Polymarket | Other | 8% | +1135 | ▼ 4.2 pp | $33K | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 0% | +99900 | ▼ 0.3 pp | $30K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Polymarket | Other | 14% | +641 | ▼ 10.5 pp | $27K | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 4% | +2532 | ▲ 2.4 pp | $27K | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Polymarket | Other | 33% | +208 | ▲ 2.0 pp | $26K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Polymarket | Other | 3% | +2930 | ▼ 0.1 pp | $25K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 12% | +770 | ▲ 3.0 pp | $25K | Aug 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Polymarket | Other | 19% | +441 | ▼ 3.0 pp | $24K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | Polymarket | Other | 29% | +251 | ▲ 2.0 pp | $22K | Aug 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 19% | +441 | ▼ 4.0 pp | $22K | Aug 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | Polymarket | Other | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 1.0 pp | $22K | Aug 15, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 48% | +107 | ▼ 0.8 pp | $21K | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | Polymarket | Other | 1% | +8596 | ▼ 3.5 pp | $21K | Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 0% | +99900 | flat | $21K | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? | Polymarket | Other | 3% | +3290 | ▼ 0.6 pp | $20K | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | Polymarket | Other | 0% | +99900 | ▼ 0.1 pp | $20K | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Polymarket | Other | 60% | -147 | ▲ 1.0 pp | $20K | Aug 31, 2026 |