| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? |
Polymarket |
Other |
70% |
-228 |
▲ 7.0 pp |
$5K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
22% |
+355 |
▼ 4.5 pp |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2567 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$5K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$5K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
19% |
+441 |
▼ 4.0 pp |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
56% |
-127 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
Polymarket |
Other |
14% |
+641 |
▼ 2.5 pp |
$5K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
6% |
+1718 |
flat |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2640 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$5K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+9424 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$5K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
55% |
-120 |
flat |
$5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+8596 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$4K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.1 pp |
$4K |
Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$4K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+28471 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$4K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
98% |
-4551 |
▲ 2.6 pp |
$4K |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
10% |
+953 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$4K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
18% |
+471 |
flat |
$4K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$4K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
29% |
+240 |
▼ 40.3 pp |
$4K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
20% |
+413 |
▼ 6.5 pp |
$4K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
53% |
-111 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$4K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
44% |
+127 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$4K |
Oct 31, 2026 |