Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a low public profile since assuming Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 following the strikes that killed his father Ali Khamenei. Prolonged absence tied to reported injuries has fueled speculation about his health and capacity to govern, with state media issuing only written statements and occasional undated footage until a short video clip released August 9-10 showed him in a meeting. Traders monitor official addresses, diplomatic engagements, or security-related events that could prompt a verified in-person appearance, while noting historical patterns of limited visibility for senior Iranian clerics amid regional tensions. Any confirmed live event or high-profile gathering within the resolution window would directly influence probabilities.

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