US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Recent indirect diplomacy through Oman and other intermediaries has shaped trader views on the timing of a next formal US-Iran round, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical talks in Switzerland. US officials, including President Trump, have described ongoing messaging and a “last chance” framework tied to the prior MOU, while Iranian statements emphasize exchanges rather than negotiations and highlight internal divisions over concessions on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz transit. These factors, combined with stalled progress on a Hormuz vessel agreement and competing Iranian factions, create uncertainty around near-term resumption, with any new round likely hinging on resolution of these sticking points before late August deadlines.

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