Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Yes0%
American odds+99900
24h move▼ 10.5 pp
24h volume$6K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Trump’s established pattern of high-volume posting on Truth Social, often exceeding 15-20 posts daily with frequent short bursts and AI-generated content, forms the core driver behind the market’s emphasis on 180-199 or 200+ posts for the August 4-11 window. Historical data, including over 100 posts in single days and hundreds monthly, supports trader consensus around these ranges for an eight-day span. Recent activity through early August, including multiple posts on policy and personal topics amid the August 1 launch of paid early-access feeds, has shown no material slowdown or surge, keeping probabilities clustered on routine output levels rather than extremes. The 160-179 band remains marginal given these baselines.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook