Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Yes29%
American odds+240
24h move▼ 40.3 pp
24h volume$4K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 11, 2026
Implied probability over time

Traders assign the highest probability to the 180-199 range because it aligns with the White House account’s established weekly posting volume under routine conditions. The account typically generates 25–28 posts per day through a combination of official statements, event announcements, policy updates, and responses to the daily news cycle. The current week features no major holidays, congressional breaks, or singular high-impact events that would sharply increase or suppress output, keeping activity within the observed baseline. The low odds on 200+ reflect the absence of sustained crises or coordinated announcement surges that historically drive elevated counts, while the modest share for 160-179 accounts for possible minor slowdowns from weekend lulls or lighter legislative activity.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook