Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?

President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and call early parliamentary and presidential elections has become the central driver of trader expectations for National Assembly dissolution. Ongoing mass protests and institutional pressure have reinforced the likelihood of a snap vote before the regular December 2027 deadline, with the president holding sole authority to dissolve parliament and set the election date 45–60 days later. As of mid-August 2026, no dissolution decree has been issued and no election timeline announced, leaving room for timing adjustments. Markets reflect strong consensus around a 2026 resolution, consistent with historical patterns of short-notice snap elections under the ruling Serbian Progressive Party. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal resignation statement, parliamentary session developments, or official election scheduling that would trigger dissolution.

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