Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?

Yes55%
American odds-122
24h move▲ 9.2 pp
24h volume$1K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesAug 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

Frequent Ukrainian drone attacks on or near Moscow have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo for safety reasons. In mid-June 2026, a large-scale barrage forced simultaneous closures lasting several hours, delaying or canceling hundreds of flights and leading some international carriers to suspend routes. Earlier security measures ahead of the May Victory Day parade produced similar shutdowns, while U.S. Embassy advisories note ongoing airspace closures tied to the conflict. These patterns, driven by the active Russia-Ukraine war, shape trader views on the likelihood of additional suspensions before late-August resolution dates, with no major de-escalation signals evident in recent weeks.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook