Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the October 2026 Bulgarian presidential race as acting president since Rumen Radev’s January resignation to contest parliamentary polls. Her endorsement by the ruling Progressive Bulgaria coalition—fresh off its April parliamentary majority—and the Bulgarian Socialist Party has consolidated broad institutional and voter support. Andrey Gyurov, the caretaker prime minister she appointed in February to oversee the April vote, emerges as the clearest alternative with backing from opposition groups like PP-DB, though his profile remains secondary. Recent opinion surveys showing Iotova near or above 50% approval reflect this incumbency edge and the absence of disruptive events since the parliamentary outcome. Lower probabilities for other listed figures align with limited party momentum or formal candidacies at this stage.

View this market on Polymarket →