Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Count Binface leads the Clacton by-election second-place market at 98.7% because major parties including Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens are not fielding candidates following Nigel Farage’s July 2026 resignation and decision to re-contest the seat. This leaves the novelty candidate—who has stood in multiple prior elections—as the highest-profile option in a record 34-candidate field on the longest UK parliamentary ballot paper. Trader consensus reflects the absence of organised opposition and Binface’s media visibility, with other listed names including Laurence Fox and various independents trading far lower. A late surge by another entrant or unusually high turnout among protest voters could still alter second-place ordering before the 13 August poll.

View this market on Polymarket →