Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

Yes40%
American odds+150
24h move▲ 2.5 pp
24h volume$2K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

A Senate committee’s August 2026 party-line vote to hold Anthony Fauci in criminal contempt of Congress, following his invocation of Fifth Amendment protections during July testimony on COVID-19 origins and pandemic policies, represents the primary recent development. Referral to the Justice Department for potential prosecution faces multiple hurdles, including constitutional questions around prior executive actions, evidentiary standards for contempt, and historical patterns of selective enforcement in similar congressional referrals. Trader consensus reflected in the 60% “No” probability aligns with assessments that successful indictment by December 31 remains improbable absent accelerated DOJ action or new grand jury developments. No charges have been filed against Fauci to date, though related proceedings involving former aides continue separately.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook