US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

US-Iran nuclear diplomacy continues to center on the fate of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile amid stalled talks and recent military strikes on sites like Fordow and Isfahan. US negotiators have pressed for physical transfer of the material to the United States, facility dismantlement, and extended enrichment limits, while Iranian officials reject these terms and favor domestic downblending under IAEA monitoring along with sanctions relief. A June 2026 memorandum and subsequent technical discussions deferred core nuclear issues in favor of a potential Strait of Hormuz reopening agreement, with President Trump signaling openness to de-escalation even without full concessions. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to near-term US acquisition of the material, reflecting Iran’s consistent red lines and the absence of breakthroughs that would alter the impasse before year-end deadlines.

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