Angelica Katsanidou leads trader consensus at 68.5% as the incumbent Social Democrat (S) regionstyrelsens ordförande and the party’s confirmed candidate for re-election ahead of the September 13, 2026 regional vote. She secured the S nomination in April 2026, reinforcing her position if the current centre-left coalition with the Centre Party and Left Party retains influence on the regional council. Malin Sjölander (M) trails at 13.5% as the primary opposition contender from the Moderates, while Karin Helmersson (C) and Lena Granath (V) sit at 6.5% each amid the fragmented field. The outcome hinges on bloc negotiations, voter turnout in key municipalities, and any late shifts in local polling on healthcare and infrastructure priorities before election day.
Governor
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
41%
+144
▲ 33.0 pp
+144
▲ 33.0 pp