Bengt Bergqvist, the sitting Social Democratic chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen’s regional board, holds the strongest trader consensus at 75.5 percent, reflecting his established incumbency, party leadership role, and the typical advantages regional incumbents enjoy ahead of the September 2026 elections. Opposition figures such as Robert Hamberg of the Moderates trail at 9 percent, consistent with historical patterns where governing coalitions often retain the top post unless major shifts occur in voter support or coalition negotiations. No recent resignations, scandals, or formal announcements have altered the field, leaving probabilities anchored to current party standings and the standard timeline for post-election board formation.
Governor
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
41%
+144
▲ 33.0 pp
+144
▲ 33.0 pp