Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, driven by consistent polling advantages for the PQ among decided voters and francophones. Christine Fréchette, who succeeded François Legault as CAQ leader and was sworn in as premier in April 2026, trails amid softer support for her party despite incremental gains in recent surveys. Charles Milliard of the Quebec Liberal Party sits in third, reflecting a competitive but narrower path. High levels of undecided voters and shifting voter intentions across major parties continue to shape assessments of the final outcome.

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