Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Elon Musk’s posting pace this week has kept the 160-179 and 180-199 buckets nearly tied, with the former edging ahead at 50.5% implied probability. High-volume days early in the period, including spikes above 30 posts, combined with steady commentary on AI tools like Grok, Tesla and SpaceX updates, and political topics, have anchored trader expectations near his recent weekly average of roughly 23 posts per day. Ongoing engagement with news cycles and quote-post activity has sustained momentum without pushing totals into higher ranges, while the market’s tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether final-day replies or reposts will tip the count across the 180 threshold before resolution.

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