Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes9%
American odds+1076
24h moveflat
24h volume$733
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

US diplomatic engagement under the second Trump administration continues to drive momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords, with repeated calls in 2026 for Saudi Arabia and Qatar to normalize relations with Israel, often tied to parallel Iran negotiations and security guarantees. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 as the first Central Asian participant, while Somaliland pledged entry after Israel’s December 2025 recognition of its independence. Saudi Arabia has pursued alternative alignments, including defense pacts with Pakistan, and maintains that Palestinian statehood progress remains a prerequisite. Oman, Qatar, and others face fewer formal barriers but limited recent bilateral advances, leaving trader assessments sensitive to any high-level summits, legislative confirmations, or shifts in Gulf alignments before the end of 2026.


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