Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Yes63%
American odds-170
24h move▼ 4.5 pp
24h volume$3K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesJan 20, 2029
Implied probability over time

Democrats have intensified calls for impeachment proceedings against President Trump, driven by his administration’s military actions in Iran and Venezuela, along with related executive statements and DOJ investigations. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res.939 introduced in December 2025 and additional articles citing war powers concerns, have advanced through the House Judiciary Committee. Traders appear to weigh the likelihood of Democratic House gains in the 2026 midterms, which would enable floor votes on articles before the 2029 term conclusion, against Republican defenses and Senate acquittal patterns from prior cases. Recent escalations around April 2026 Truth Social posts and coalition pressures have sustained momentum for these efforts.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook