Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Yes1%
American odds+7043
24h move▼ 0.6 pp
24h volume$2K
PlatformPolymarket
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Implied probability over time

Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated there is no point in a direct meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy until lower-level experts reach preliminary agreements on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires. Recent US-mediated negotiator talks in locations including Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on prisoner exchanges but stalled on major points, with Putin rejecting Zelenskyy’s proposals for immediate leader-level engagement. Ongoing battlefield dynamics and demands from both sides have sustained the impasse into August 2026. This consensus among traders reflects the absence of scheduled bilateral summits and historical patterns of delayed high-level diplomacy. A realistic shift could occur through sudden US-brokered breakthroughs or concessions that enable a summit in a neutral venue before the 2027 deadline.


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Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook